SIMULATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT ON RICE (Oryza sativa L.) PRODUCTION IN KANO RIVER IRRIGATION SCHEME (KRIS) USING APSIM MODEL
نویسندگان
چکیده
Climate change threatened rice production in the semi-arid region of Nigeria. Agricultural is affected by variations weather conditions and long-term climate patterns. The pattern changing last three decades indicated that changes rainfall temperature reduced agriculture outputs yields, which significant rice. A farm experiment was set up with six cultivars APSIM model used to simulate grain yield at maturity under a scenarios observe effect on Results showed mean annual KRIS has risen about 0.62 degrees decade, while rise 0.9 degree Celsius between “2010-2040” respectively. Also, there no difference measured varieties, however, their response simulated significant. decreased within span two were 1 oC, 2 3oC temperature. overall decreasing steadily began descend 2025, 2038 again not clear as reason for rise. However, average generally over decades. It recommended adaptation strategy such growing high short duration variety reduce impact ensure food security.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Fudma Journal of Sciences
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2616-1370']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2023-0703-1845